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Pin to quick picksThomas Cook Share News (TCG)

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Broker tips: Whitbread, Paddy Power Betfair, TUI

Tue, 26th Apr 2016 15:25

(ShareCast News) - Numis reiterated a 'hold' rating and target price of 4,000p for Whitbread on Tuesday, saying it expects "lack-lustre" earnings growth in the near term.The owner of Costa and Premier Inn reported its full year results on Tuesday, revealing a 12% increase in total revenue to £2.91bn and an 11.9% gain in underlying profit before tax to £546.3m. Numis had forecast pre-tax profit of £548.7m.The company's Premier Inn brand saw total sales growth of 12.9% and like-for-like growth of 4.2%, while coffee chain Costa saw total sales improve 15.9% and UK like-for-likes grow 2.9%. The dividend was raised by 10% to 90.35p.Chief executive Alison Brittain said Whitbread was planning to develop its network and brand strength amid rising competition, rapid technological advancements, changing cost structures and growing customer expectations.Whitbread repeated its target to reach around 85,000 UK hotel rooms and £2.5bn system sales in Costa by 2020."Management acknowledges the need to invest across both brands in a number of common areas: teams, IT infrastructure, digital and productivity and efficiency," said Numis analyst Wyn Ellis."We believe that this, in combination with a more competitive market environment, will result in relatively lack-lustre earnings growth in the near term."Numis kept its forecasts for full year 2017 pre-tax profit growth of 5.5% growth.Whitbread said it has had a good start to the year with Premier Inn growing share in a flat market and is confident looking ahead.Ellis concluded: "High enough for now, in our view: the 'refreshed' management team needs to prove itself in a changing world." Paddy Power Betfair got a boost on Tuesday as Morgan Stanley lifted its stance on the shares to 'overweight' from 'equalweight', saying the stock's drop of over 20% in the last two months made for a compelling entry point."We are not changing forecasts, but see upside risks given signs of accelerating cost cutting and strong industry growth," the bank said.MS said there four new developments other than valuation giving it confidence in the growth profile.It said the company seems to be on track to exceed its £50m synergy target, with delivery quicker than its three-year target.In addition, it highlighted strong industry growth rates. The bank said peer William Hill's surprise profit warning was related to changes in regulations for player activity and anti-money laundering."This heightened market concerns of a slowdown in growth in the key UK online gambling market. Subsequent upbeat reports from Ladbrokes, GVCand Skybet suggest that William Hill's issues are more company specific."Morgan Stanley also pointed to Betfair's s horse-racing exchange in New Jersey, which launches on 10 May.It said this will be the first fixed-odds product for US horseracing, adding that it sees significant long-term scope for growth as more states legalise, and a long-term option on sports betting regulation.Finally, the bank said net debt of £63m as of 8tMarch leaves PPB on track to beat its year-end forecast of net cash of £42m.MS has a 10,000p price target on the stock. TUI was making the most of the bumper UK summer holiday booking season, but the same could not be said of rival Thomas Cook, JP Morgan said.A 20.2% surge in UK holiday bookings during the month of February took fiscal year-to-date growth for the sector to 9.6%, with no signs of any deceleration ahead despite the fact that companies were heading into less favourable period for currency comparables.However, only TUI, whose summer 2016 bookings were running 9% ahead appeared to be "fully capturing this opportunity", the broker said in a research note sent to clients.Analysts led by Jaafar Mestari on the other hand expected rival Thomas Cook to continue to suffer from stronger competition in the lower price points - from the likes of Dart - and less favourable hedging (at prices that were 7% higher than those for TUI).The UK represented nearly 40% of group earnings before interest and taxes for both TUI and Thomas Cook, they explained.Indeed, in th ecsae of TUI spot booings were already running sufficiently high enough for the company to reach the broker´s estimates for fiscal year 2016.However, an unexpected €36m currency headwind from the translation of UK profits led Jaafar and his team to lower their target price on the shares from 1,315p to 1,200p, even while upgrading their recommendation from 'neutral' to 'overweight'.Shares of Thomas Cook were downgraded to from 'overweight' to 'neutral' and the target price lowered from 170p to 100p."Even factoring in management expectations of a "sustained recovery in consumer confidence", we now model a flat growth scenario (vs ytd bookings flat/-5%). We think the stock unlikely to re-rate before revenue growth resumes."
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30 Sep 2019 09:43

Some Thomas Cook customers will wait 60 days for refunds - CAA

(Sharecast News) - Some Thomas Cook customers may have to wait for at least two months to receive a refund after the travel firm collapsed last week, the Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) said on Monday.

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24 Sep 2019 20:07

Germany to offer 380 mln euro bridging loan to Condor

BERLIN, Sept 24 (Reuters) - Germany has decided to guarantee a bridging loan of 380 million euros to Condor, the German airline owned by insolvent British travel operator Thomas Cook, Economy Minister Peter Altmaier said on Tuesday."Condor is a pr...

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24 Sep 2019 18:38

RPT-German govt, Hesse line up bridge loan of nearly 400 mln euros for Condor - sources

BERLIN, Sept 24 (Reuters) - The German government and state of Hesse want to jointly support Condor, the German airline owned by insolvent British travel operator Thomas Cook, with a bridging loan of almost 400 million euros, government sources t...

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24 Sep 2019 14:27

Thomas Cook collapse affects 53,000 British nationals in Spain - tourism minister

MADRID, Sept 24 (Reuters) - The collapse of British travel firm Thomas Cook has affected 53,000 Britons in Spain, Spanish Acting Tourism Minister Reyes Maroto told reporters on Tuesday.The ministry has been in touch with German and Swedish author...

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24 Sep 2019 12:18

UK accounting regulator mulls examining Thomas Cook failure

LONDON, Sept 24 (Reuters) - Britain's Financial Reporting Council said on Tuesday it was considering investigating the collapse of travel company Thomas Cook."In light of recent developments at Thomas Cook, we are considering whether there is any ...

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24 Sep 2019 10:09

UPDATE 1-Windfall for investors that bet on Thomas Cook collapse

(Adding details throughout)LONDON, Sept 24 (Reuters) - A panel of bankers has ruled that some investors in Thomas Cook's credit derivatives worth as much as $2.7 billion are eligible for a payout following the world's oldest tour operator's collap...

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24 Sep 2019 09:33

Berlin to decide on loan for Thomas Cook's Condor within next days - Minister

BERLIN, Sept 24 (Reuters) - The German government will decide within the next coming days on whether to offer financial support to Condor, the German airline owned by insolvent British travel operator Thomas Cook, German Economy Minister Peter Al...

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24 Sep 2019 09:21

Investors that bet on Thomas Cook collapse will get paid out - panel

LONDON, Sept 24 (Reuters) - A panel of bankers has ruled that some investors in Thomas Cook's credit derivatives worth as much as $2.7 billion are eligible for a payout following the world's oldest tour operator's collapse on Monday, according to...

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24 Sep 2019 08:23

UK says bailing out Thomas Cook would have thrown "good money after bad"

LONDON, Sept 24 (Reuters) - The British government decided there was no point bailing out Thomas Cook as it would have been a waste of taxpayers' money to throw good money into a business that was not meeting the needs of its customers, the busine...

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24 Sep 2019 06:59

UPDATE 2-After Thomas Cook collapse, UK PM asks why bosses got paid millions

* Johnson questions bosses' pay ahead of collapses* Johnson says taxpayer has had to foot the bill* British state decided not to bail out Thomas Cook* UK plans to fly 135,300 people back, 16,500 people today (Recasts with Johnson)By Kylie MacLellan ...

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24 Sep 2019 06:59

UPDATE 3-After Thomas Cook collapse, UK PM asks why bosses got paid millions

* Johnson questions bosses' pay ahead of collapse* Johnson says taxpayer has had to foot the bill* British state decided not to bail out Thomas Cook* UK plans to fly 135,300 people back, 16,500 people today (Adds business secretary, customer comment...

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24 Sep 2019 06:59

UPDATE 1-UK plans to fly 135,300 people back after Thomas Cook collapse

(Adds details)LONDON, Sept 24 (Reuters) - Emergency flights brought 14,700 people back to the United Kingdom on Monday after the collapse of travel firm Thomas Cook, and around 135,300 more are expected to be returned over the next 13 days, Britai...

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24 Sep 2019 06:45

Thomas Cook Airline In Nordic Region To Resume Flights

Thomas Cook Airline In Nordic Region To Resume Flights

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24 Sep 2019 06:38

Thousands Of Thomas Cook Customers Flown Home Amid Anger Over Bonuses

Thousands Of Thomas Cook Customers Flown Home Amid Anger Over Bonuses

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23 Sep 2019 20:49

Thomas Cook's Nordic unit to carry on after parent company's collapse

OSLO, Sept 23 (Reuters) - Thomas Cook's Nordic business, the Ving group, will continue operations as normal from Tuesday despite the collapse of the parent company on Monday, it said.Hundreds of thousands of holidaymakers were stranded by the col...

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