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RBC forecasts outperformance for European insurers, wealth managers

Tue, 11th Dec 2018 12:05

(Sharecast News) - European insurers should outperform the market in 2019, RBC Capital Markets predicted, with strong balance sheets and stronger pricing boosting earnings, though Standard Life Aberdeen was downgraded."An increase in underlying customer demand with little change in supply should increase insurers' pricing power, leading to growing earnings," RBC said in a note to clients on Tuesday."Investors can be assured by a highly prudent solvency regime which keeps balance sheets strong and high-yielding dividends safe."Top picks for the sector were Aviva, Beazley, Just Group, Legal & General, with 'outperform' recommendations for Ageas, Direct Line, Lancashire, Munich Re, Phoenix and RSA Insurance.On the UK life insurance sector, the "limited Brexit risk" is creating a buying opportunity, RBC said, with recent underperformance due to the uncertainty caused by the political situation. Even in a no-deal Brexit, RBC said life insurers' solvency and growth would be "only dented".Bulk annuities are seen as "the best structural growth opportunity" in the life sector, with "significant latent demand which is independent of economic growth and the prospect for large reserve releases due to slowing life expectancy", plus attractive and "extremely safe" dividend yields.Looking at wealth managers, RBC said there was an "underappreciated" £1trn future prize from the opportunity in defined benefit pension transfers. Share prices of the subsector "do not reflect the scale of the potential" as analysts feel management have downplayed the opportunity due to worries that it be related to the 1988-1994 mis-selling scandal.The market backdrop for Lloyd's insurers "is improving" after a number of years of underlying price declines and there prices "should" improve in most specialty lines of business in 2019.In UK non-life, 2019 prices are expected to be stable before another step down in 2020. Looking forward, both whiplash reforms and changes to the Ogden rate "will in all likelihood lead to falling prices for customers", RBC said, with the FCA review into pricing another potential drag next year.Standard Life Aberdeen was downgraded to 'sector perform' from 'outperform', with a new target price of 260p.RBC analysts see SLA's earnings and potentially dividend being hit as its assets under management falls by more than 9% on a compound annual basis between mid-2018 and end-2020, with outflows from the Global Absolute Return strategy forecast to have accelerated in the last month and reach £7bn for 2019E and £5bn for 2020E.Falls in financial markets have exacerbated the lack of dividend cover, which the analysts think will put the current dividend policy under pressure.
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29 Jun 2021 09:04

Standard Life Aberdeen nets GBP652 million from latest HDFC Life sale

Standard Life Aberdeen nets GBP652 million from latest HDFC Life sale

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29 Jun 2021 08:14

LONDON BRIEFING: UDG Healthcare accepts GBP2.8 billion takeover offer

LONDON BRIEFING: UDG Healthcare accepts GBP2.8 billion takeover offer

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29 Jun 2021 07:40

Standard Life Aberdeen subsidiary sells £652m of HDFC Life shares

(Sharecast News) - Standard Life Aberdeen said on Tuesday that wholly-owned subsidiary Standard Life Mauritius has sold just over 100.8m shares in HDFC Life on the stock exchange in India for around 67.3 bn rupees (£652m).

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28 Jun 2021 09:58

HSBC downgrades M and G and St.James's Place after sharp share price gains

(Sharecast News) - Analysts at HSBC downgraded their recommendation for shares of M&G and St.James's Place from 'buy' to 'hold'.

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4 Jun 2021 11:32

Moody's affirms Standard Life Aberdeen but warns of fee revenue fall

Moody's affirms Standard Life Aberdeen but warns of fee revenue fall

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25 May 2021 14:33

IN BRIEF: River & Mercantile hires Aberdeen Standard Investments chief

IN BRIEF: River & Mercantile hires Aberdeen Standard Investments chief

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25 May 2021 09:35

BROKER RATINGS: Royal Mail boosted to Buy from Hold by Peel Hunt

BROKER RATINGS: Royal Mail boosted to Buy from Hold by Peel Hunt

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18 May 2021 15:49

UK dividends calendar - next 7 days

UK dividends calendar - next 7 days

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18 May 2021 11:03

TOP NEWS: Phoenix Group confirms potential sale of European businesses

TOP NEWS: Phoenix Group confirms potential sale of European businesses

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17 May 2021 20:48

PRESS: Phoenix Group finds buyer for European business - Sky News

PRESS: Phoenix Group finds buyer for European business - Sky News

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17 May 2021 09:35

Brooks Macdonald promotes Andrew Shepherd to CEO as Connellan departs

Brooks Macdonald promotes Andrew Shepherd to CEO as Connellan departs

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13 May 2021 09:38

3i raises dividend after private equity picks drive solid return

3i raises dividend after private equity picks drive solid return

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11 May 2021 16:13

UK shareholder meetings calendar - next 7 days

UK shareholder meetings calendar - next 7 days

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2 May 2021 12:32

Sunday newspaper round-up: GlaxoSmithKline, Rare Earths, Amazon

(Sharecast News) - Top investors in Glaxo Smith Kline are piling pressure on Dame Emma Walmsley after the activist New York hedge fund Elliott Management was revealed to have built a significant stake. Two top-20 investors in the drugs and consumer goods giant said that the chief executive's future was in doubt after four years of disappointing performance. One top-20 investor said there was "no desire to protect her" among institutional shareholders. Another said that Walmsley, 51, should step aside after her plan to break the business in two is carried out and hand over to her lieutenant, Luke Miels. - Sunday Times

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26 Apr 2021 08:36

Standard Life Aberdeen to change name to Abrdn - pronounced "Aberdeen"

Standard Life Aberdeen to change name to Abrdn - pronounced "Aberdeen"

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