* European shares slide on China virus worries
* Deutsche Bank posts larger-than-expected loss
* Big earnings day in Europe
* Eyes on BoE meeting: rate cut hangs in balance
Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity markets brought to you by Reuters
stocks reporters and anchored today by Danilo Masoni. Reach him on Messenger to share your
thoughts on market moves: danilo.masoni.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net
MEANWHILE, VALUE STOCKS KEEP ON LOSING GROUND (1136 GMT)
Another sign that investors are not quite ready to turn bearish is how value stocks keep on
underperforming.
"Global value stocks now stand at a record low versus their growth counterparts, having
underperformed for the whole of last year and into this year", UBS analysts write in their daily
House View.
While value stocks are typical safe havens when things turn sour, the fact they are so out
of style might be trying to tell us something.
Anyhow, UBS believes the right way forward for a sluggish economy and 'lower-for-long'
monetary policies is to go for high-quality and high-dividend.
"The former tends to perform better than the overall market when the economy grows below
trend or slows down, while the latter is a key investment strategy when rates are low".
Here's value in the last two years:
(Julien Ponthus)
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UTILITIES: FLYING LIKE A FANG (1103 GMT)
Utilities aren't the sexiest industry on the market but over the last month or so they had
returns similar to the high-flying FANGs on Wall Street, if not even higher.
Surely, worries over economic growth are pushing investors into old-fashioned bond proxies
but perhaps there more into it, as climate change fosters huge transformations in the industry
and reshapes the whole economy.
Utilities are the only sector rising this morning in Europe, and their year-to-date
rally means that over the last 2 years they are outperforming the NYSE FANG+, an index
that gives exposure to highly-traded growth tech stocks.
This month Goldman Sachs said the EU's plan to reach net zero carbon emissions by 2050 could
fuel 7 trillion euros of investments with utilities accounting for nearly half of that.
GS sees a possible strong rerating for the firms it defines as a "Climate Champion" (Orsted
, RWE, EDP Enel, EDPR, and IBE).
According to Barclays, utilities exposure moved up noticeably in the last couple of months
with funds overweight the sector reaching the highest in five years, at 31%.
Watch this space!
(Danilo Masoni)
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MARKETS HAVE NO CLUE ON TODAY'S BOE RATE DECISION (1024 GMT)
A little less than two hours ahead of the BoE's rate decision, investors are still
completely and almost perfectly divided about the outcome.
That's right it's really a 50/50 flip-the-coin thing.
"I can’t recall the last time we have gone into a BoE monetary policy decision with the
market as divided on what the outcome will be", wrote Derek Halpenny in MUFG Bank's FX Daily
Snapshot note.
"This is certainly not akin to the way in which either the Fed or the ECB like to go into a
monetary policy decision", he also said.
What could this rare situation mean as to the decision that will be taken?
"It does suggest that the lack of attempt to shift the market one way or the other reflects
the fact that the MPC is truly divided on this and we may well therefore see a split decision
today on either a vote to cut or remain on hold", Derek Halpenny argued.
(Julien Ponthus and Tommy Reggiori Wilkes)
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CHERRY ON THE CAKE: THE YIELD CURVE INVERTED...AGAIN! (0850 GMT)
There's like a perfect storm brewing between disappointing Q4 earnings and the coronavirus
scare spooking markets, but it wouldn't be complete without a touch of macro gloom.
The mighty U.S. recession omen, the yield curve, has inverted again this morning.
U.S. 10-year Treasury yields fell to 1.55% their lowest levels since early
October and were below yields on the three-month benchmark notes.
10-year and 3-month yields are currently dancing a tango-like dance, inverting in and out
and playing with investors nerves.
While an inverted yield curve is usually seen as an advanced indicator of a looming
recession, there's a case it may actually tell us more about the fear investors bestow on the
virus rather than the health of the U.S. economy.
Anyhow, there's no way to look at the inversion as a good thing is there?
(Dhara Ranasinghe and Julien Ponthus)
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OPENING SNAPSHOT: A SEA OF RED (0821 GMT)
There's little to say about today's open except that it's a sea of red!
Coronavirus fears are back to haut investors and Q4 results are failing to provide any
meaningful support, quite the opposite!
All indexes and sub-sectors are trading in negative territory with the pan-regional STOXX
600 benchmark falling nearly 1%. 91% of the index's constituents are lower.
Here's your opening snapshot
Among the few winners are fashion retailer Stockholm-listed H&M and Volvo
following strong updates, while in Helsinki Nokian is in demand on reports
of activist investor Elliot building a stake in the tyremaker.
Shell, Swatch and Roche are all down after their updates.
(Danilo Masoni)
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ON OUR RADAR: DEUTSCHE BANK, TECH, WATCHMAKERS AND AUTOS (0754 GMT)
There was no Fed change overnight to counter concerns over damage from the spreading new
China virus and after a two-day bounce European shares are set to resume their slide from record
levels. Futures were around -1%.
More Q4 earnings will also be on the radar and Deutsche Bank posting a
larger-than-expected annual loss, its fifth in a row as Germany's top bank undergoes a costly
overhaul, isn't exactly a good start to the day.
Its shares were down more than 4% in early trade. That further dampens hopes the battered
rate-sensitive sector could stage a recovery this year as its cheap valuation offsets continued
pressure from negative rates.
A mixed earnings showing from the seemingly unstoppable Wall Street winners overnight isn't
going to help the mood. Facebook shares fell 7% in extended trading as quarterly revenue
growth slowed to 25%, its slowest rate ever, in what could weigh on European tech, but Tesla
rose 13% after the electric carmaker posted another quarterly profit and brokers
scrambled to make big target increases. Also Microsoft beat expectations.
Back to Europe, Swatch results are going to be a big dampener for the luxury sector,
whose big exposure to China has made it particularly vulnerable the coronavirus scare and the
Hong Kong unrest.
The world's No.1 watchmaker said expects sales to fall further in Hong Kong. Its shares were
seen opening down 4-5% and drag lower rival Richemont.
Supportive news instead for the automotive sector -- the worst performer year to date amid
worries over slowing growth and higher U.S. tariffs. Volvo delivered strong results
and payout plan and reports said activist investor Elliot has built a stake in tyremaker Nokian
. Their shares are both seen rising more than 3% at the open.
Eyes also on Unilever after a slightly better-than-expected rise in quarterly
sales, and Royal Dutch Shell's following a bigger-than-expected 50% drop in Q4 profit.
Other stock movers: Roche 2019 net profit rises by a third, forecasts 2020 growth;
Diageo reports marginal rise in first-half profit; BT misses third quarter
forecast; H&M delivers first annual profit rise since 2015; Siemens Gamesa
cuts profitability target for second time in 3 months
(Danilo Masoni)
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MORNING CALL: DOWN WE GO AGAIN (0636 GMT)
There was no Fed surprise overnight to counter worries over the spreading
coronavirus outbreak and with a rising death toll and new cases outside China, equities in
Europe look set to track Asian shares lower today, snapping a two-day bounce.
Spreadbetters at IG expect London's FTSE to open 41 points lower at 7,483, Frankfurt's DAX
to open 103 points further down at 13,345 and Paris' CAC to open 44 points lower at 5,954.
More Q4 earnings will also be under the spotlight and Deutsche Bank posting a
larger-than-expected loss isn't exactly the best way to start the day with.
A knife-edge BoE decision could also have an impact later on with investors split over the
chance that the central bank will cut rates for the first time in more than 3 years, just on the
day before the UK leaves the EU.
(Danilo Masoni)
*****
(Reporting by Danilo Masoni, Joice Alves, Julien Ponthus and Thyagaraju Adinarayan)
