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Pin to quick picksJohnston Press PLC Share News (JPR)

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Broker tips: Johnston Press, Direct Line, Hikma Pharmaceuticals

Thu, 04th Aug 2016 11:01

(ShareCast News) - Johnston Press shares plunged on Thursday as Numis placed its rating and target price 'under review' after the company swung to a first half loss.For the 26 weeks to 2 July, the company posted a statutory pre-tax loss of £183.7m versus a £2.2m profit the year before, as it booked a £183.6m non-cash impairment reflecting a change of assumptions on its publishing titles and print assets.Advertising revenues were down 17.9% in the first quarter but improved marginally, with a 15% drop in the second quarter despite the impact of the run-up to and uncertainty following the UK's vote to leave the European Union in June.Chief executive Ashley Highfield said the market continues to be challenging and uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the Brexit negotiations has caused further softness in some segments of the advertising market, in June and July.Numis said the half year results came in below its estimates at every level."Our key issue at Johnston remains debt which has risen to £209m (from £179.4m) representing almost 4x our annualised EBITDA."This material debt pile, relative to cashflows, in combination with the declining and uncertain trading environment place a significant question mark on the equity value in the business."Numis said it expects to cut estimates "reasonably sharply" in both fiscal years 2016 and 2017. Direct Line Insurance Group's rating has been downgraded to 'hold' from 'buy' by Berenberg as the broker said "questions remain about earnings sustainability"."We believe there is some risk regarding the sustainability of Direct Line's earnings," Berenberg said in a note on Wednesday."High reserve releases, lower than forecast cost savings and a shrinking direct market all cast doubt on future earnings."Berenberg said older accident years have been incredibly profitable for Direct Line but these years are now contributing increasingly less releases.The broker said it does not expect to see the same developments in more recent accident years. Berenberg believes it will be difficult for management to offset falling reserve releases with the current accident year and operating improvements."As reserve releases decline, we expect earnings to be flat at best, thus we believe it will be challenging to grow the dividend from here," the broker said.Berenberg reiterated a target price of 406p.Direct Line on Tuesday posted its half year report for the six months to 30 June on Tuesday. Operating profit fell 5% to £316.9m, hurt by lower investment gains and the new Flood Re levy, but the group beat its own consensus estimates of £263m. Analysts at Citi downgraded their recommendation on shares of Hikma Pharmaceuticals in the wake of the company´s trading update which was issued after the close of trading in London on 3 August.Hikma flagged new drug approvals were arriving more slowly than expected and the phasing of litigation costs at US generics.On the basis of the above, the broker´s analysts lowered their recommendation on the shares from 'buy' to 'neutral' and set a target price of 2,600p.They also lowered estimates for the drugmaker´s core 2016 earnings before interest and taxes and earnings per share by 9.0% to $367m and $1.08, respectively - below the equivalent figures of $420m and $1.22 expected by the consensus.EPS estimates from 2017 onwards were cut by between 2% and 5% from 2017 onwards, with rates in foreign exchange markets expected to be an "incremental headwind".What was Citi´s view? "Developments at US Generics at best can be described as a 'short term hiccup'. At worse, sentiment concerns around the revenue/margin potential from the Roxane pipeline will increase, which is not helped by the lack of clarity on the pipeline given commercial sensitivities until 2017."If one were to cut his Roxane pipeline estimates by half, that would lead to EPS downgrades of between -15.0% and -20.0%, Citi said.Citi estimated the company´s net present value (NPV) at 2,900p, with a weighted average cost of capital of 8.0%, a terminal growth value (the rate at which free cash flows are expected to grow for eternity) of 2.0% and cable´s exchange rate at 1.32.
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13 Nov 2012 09:48

Johnston Press optimistic despite deteriorating trading

Heavily indebted newspaper publisher Johnston Press has reporting 'challenging market conditions' although it expects full-year operating profit performance for 2012 to be broadly in line with current market expectations. It said: "Provided that the trading environment does not deteriorate further,

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21 Aug 2012 08:29

Johnston Press profit nearly halves

Media group Johnston Press said profit before tax and non recurring items almost halved in the first half of 2012 as print advertising revenues slumped. The owner of The Scotsman and Yorkshire Post said adjusted pre-tax profits fell to £8.06m in the 26 weeks ended 30 June 2012 from £15.7m the same

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30 Jul 2012 10:59

Resource round-up: Atlantic Coal, Silvermere, Toledo Mining

Shares Atlantic Coal, the AIM-listed miner focused on Pennsylvania, USA, jumped 11% in early trading after it reported a positive production update from its Stockton Colliery. In the three months to the end of June the company saw an 18.8% increase in clean coal production compared to the first quar

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17 May 2012 14:05

Small caps round-up: Games Workshop, PLUS, Optos, Johnston

Games Workshop Group has said that it will pay a dividend of 16p per share. The firm also revealed that pre-tax profits for the year to June 3rd are likely to be ahead of current market expectations, having previously told investors that trading during the first four months was in line with expectat

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26 Apr 2012 07:14

Thursday newspaper round-up: Eurozone, BP, North Sea

Nicolas Sarkozy has promised to hold a referendum on Europe's fiscal pact, dealing a hammer-blow to Angela Merkel's "non-negotiable" plans to impose austerity on the Eurozone. The French president, who is struggling in his bid to be re-elected, said he intended to insert the "balanced budget" rule i

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25 Apr 2012 12:19

Embattled Johnston Press refinances

Johnston Press released its delayed full year results and they were not worth waiting for, as a slump in advertising revenues led to a collapse in profits. The owner of The Scotsman and Yorkshire Post newspapers had put back the release of its results because it had been busy negotiating with its l

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17 Apr 2012 06:51

Tuesday newspaper round-up: Spain, China, PIMCO

Madrid is plotting to strip Spain's regions of their powers in a radical bid to convince global investors that the nation can control its finances. Officials said Madrid was ready to intervene if the regions continued to bust their budgets and hamper the central government's austerity drive. Spain's

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28 Mar 2012 11:13

Johnston Press shares plummet on debt fears

Shares in the troubled owner of The Scotsman and Yorkshire Post, Johnston Press, have dropped dramatically after the company announced a delay in publishing its preliminary results. Johnston has moved the date from April 3rd to April 25th. In the same announcement the firm says it has been in "con

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14 Nov 2011 18:23

Tuesday preview: Burberry, Johnston Press, Euro GDP, UK inflation

Fashion brand Burberry has undoubtedly been one of the success stories of the last decade, and broker Charles Stanley thinks the good run is set to continue with Tuesday's interim results. The broker is going for sales of £830m, up from £641m at the interim stage last year, while profit before tax

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20 Jun 2011 11:32

Johnson and Johnston in facilities management deal

Johnson Service Group, the dry-cleaning, textile rental and facilities management business, has won a contract to manage facilities for Johnston Press, the publisher of the Scotsman and Yorkshire Post newspapers. Up to 130 employees of Johnston Press involved in security, catering, cleaning, buildi

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11 May 2011 06:44

Wednesday tips round-up: IHG, Johnston Press, Ashtead

InterContinental Hotels (IHG) was the toast of investors yesterday after it delivered a buoyant performance in the US, which accounts for about two-thirds of its profits. For the quarter just ended, IHG registered a 35% rise in operating profits to $112m. Total revenues jumped by 9% to $396m over th

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10 May 2011 12:20

Johnston Press to cut costs as ad decline bites

Johnston Press, the publisher of the Scotsman, the Yorkshire Post and a host of more localised newspapers, is planning to implement cost savings to cope with increased newsprint prices. Prices are "significantly higher" than last year and the company is eyeing savings of £5m this year, it says. It

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21 Mar 2011 16:59

Johnston Press chairman buys again

Johnston Press chairman Ian Russell has nearly doubled his stake in the local newspaper publisher. Russell acquired 1.3m shares at 7.65p each, taking his stake to 2.71m shares. The share purchase cost just over £99,000. The Johnston Press share price has fallen by nearly three-quarters in the pa

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9 Mar 2011 07:25

Johnston Press ad sales falls, CEO to step down

Regional newspaper publisher Johnston Press said ad sales fell in the last year, following government spending cuts, and expressed caution about the uncertain economic outlook for 2011. The Yorkshire Post and Scotsman publisher said total advertising for the first nine weeks of 2011 fell 11.4% com

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4 Mar 2011 12:21

Small caps round-up: Quadnetics, Johnston Press, Origo Partners

Revenues at surveillance and security technology provider Quadnetics declined 5% from £64.65m to £61.28m for the year ended 30 November after restructuring its integration and managed services (IMS) division. Nevertheless, pre-tax profit totalled £1.4m, from a loss of £0.2m in 2009, after a reducti

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