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Broker tips: Johnston Press, Direct Line, Hikma Pharmaceuticals

Thu, 04th Aug 2016 11:01

(ShareCast News) - Johnston Press shares plunged on Thursday as Numis placed its rating and target price 'under review' after the company swung to a first half loss.For the 26 weeks to 2 July, the company posted a statutory pre-tax loss of £183.7m versus a £2.2m profit the year before, as it booked a £183.6m non-cash impairment reflecting a change of assumptions on its publishing titles and print assets.Advertising revenues were down 17.9% in the first quarter but improved marginally, with a 15% drop in the second quarter despite the impact of the run-up to and uncertainty following the UK's vote to leave the European Union in June.Chief executive Ashley Highfield said the market continues to be challenging and uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the Brexit negotiations has caused further softness in some segments of the advertising market, in June and July.Numis said the half year results came in below its estimates at every level."Our key issue at Johnston remains debt which has risen to £209m (from £179.4m) representing almost 4x our annualised EBITDA."This material debt pile, relative to cashflows, in combination with the declining and uncertain trading environment place a significant question mark on the equity value in the business."Numis said it expects to cut estimates "reasonably sharply" in both fiscal years 2016 and 2017. Direct Line Insurance Group's rating has been downgraded to 'hold' from 'buy' by Berenberg as the broker said "questions remain about earnings sustainability"."We believe there is some risk regarding the sustainability of Direct Line's earnings," Berenberg said in a note on Wednesday."High reserve releases, lower than forecast cost savings and a shrinking direct market all cast doubt on future earnings."Berenberg said older accident years have been incredibly profitable for Direct Line but these years are now contributing increasingly less releases.The broker said it does not expect to see the same developments in more recent accident years. Berenberg believes it will be difficult for management to offset falling reserve releases with the current accident year and operating improvements."As reserve releases decline, we expect earnings to be flat at best, thus we believe it will be challenging to grow the dividend from here," the broker said.Berenberg reiterated a target price of 406p.Direct Line on Tuesday posted its half year report for the six months to 30 June on Tuesday. Operating profit fell 5% to £316.9m, hurt by lower investment gains and the new Flood Re levy, but the group beat its own consensus estimates of £263m. Analysts at Citi downgraded their recommendation on shares of Hikma Pharmaceuticals in the wake of the company´s trading update which was issued after the close of trading in London on 3 August.Hikma flagged new drug approvals were arriving more slowly than expected and the phasing of litigation costs at US generics.On the basis of the above, the broker´s analysts lowered their recommendation on the shares from 'buy' to 'neutral' and set a target price of 2,600p.They also lowered estimates for the drugmaker´s core 2016 earnings before interest and taxes and earnings per share by 9.0% to $367m and $1.08, respectively - below the equivalent figures of $420m and $1.22 expected by the consensus.EPS estimates from 2017 onwards were cut by between 2% and 5% from 2017 onwards, with rates in foreign exchange markets expected to be an "incremental headwind".What was Citi´s view? "Developments at US Generics at best can be described as a 'short term hiccup'. At worse, sentiment concerns around the revenue/margin potential from the Roxane pipeline will increase, which is not helped by the lack of clarity on the pipeline given commercial sensitivities until 2017."If one were to cut his Roxane pipeline estimates by half, that would lead to EPS downgrades of between -15.0% and -20.0%, Citi said.Citi estimated the company´s net present value (NPV) at 2,900p, with a weighted average cost of capital of 8.0%, a terminal growth value (the rate at which free cash flows are expected to grow for eternity) of 2.0% and cable´s exchange rate at 1.32.
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20 Jun 2014 15:31

UK AGM, EGM Calendar - Week Ahead

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16 Jun 2014 16:11

DIRECTOR DEALINGS: Johnston Press Executives Buy Rights Shares

LONDON (Alliance News) - Johnston Press PLC Monday said a group of executives including Chairman Ian Russell and Chief Executive Ashley Highfield bought shares at a price of 3 pence per share as part of the publisher's recent rights issue.

Details are as follows.

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13 Jun 2014 12:35

UPDATE: Johnston Press Secures Subscribers For All Of Rights Issue

LONDON (Alliance News) - Johnston Press PLC said Friday that it has received 100% acceptances of its rights issue, which was announced on May 9 as part of a restructuring plan to pay down its debt and stabilise its finances. It received acceptances for 92.25% of its rights issue initially a

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13 Jun 2014 08:34

Johnston Press Raises GBP127 Million In Under-Subscribed Rights Issue

LONDON (Alliance News) - Johnston Press PLC said Friday it received acceptances for 92.25% of its rights issue, which was announced on May 9 as part of a restructuring plan to pay down its debt and stabilise its finances. The publisher of regional newspapers including The Scotsman and The Y

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9 Jun 2014 15:37

DIRECTOR DEALINGS: Johnson Press CFO Buys 550,000 Shares

LONDON (Alliance News) - Newspaper publisher Johnston Press PLC Monday said Chief Financial Officer David King bought 550,000 shares at a price of 3.851 pence per share Friday. Following the purchase, King has an interest in 13.1 million shares. Shares closed down 1.5% at 3.87 pence M

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29 May 2014 12:25

Johnston Press confirms admission of 46bn shares

Newspaper publisher Johnston Press on Thursday confirmed that 46bn shares have been admitted to trading following the placing and rights issue announced earlier in May. Of this, 4.59bn were subcribed for under the rights issue, while the remaining 13.68m were placing shares. NR

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9 May 2014 11:50

UK MIDDAY BRIEFING: IAG On Steady Path, Petrofac Dives

LONDON (Alliance News) - Oil and gas services company Petrofac Friday issued a profit warning after it said the planned development of the Greater Stella Area oil field in the North Sea would be delayed until next spring, it was hit by low output at a Romanian oil field, and w

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9 May 2014 10:27

TOP NEWS: IGas Acquisition To Make It Biggest Gas Fracker In UK

LONDON (Alliance News) - The following is a summary of top news stories Friday.
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COMPANIES
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IGas Energy PLC said it had an agreed deal to buy Dart Energy Ltd for GBP117.1 million in shares, a deal that will create a comp

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9 May 2014 09:56

Johnston Press reveals 360m pounds refinancing and 650 job cuts

Shares in Johnston Press lost a quarter of their value on Friday after the British regional newspaper publisher unveiled a 360m pounds capital refinancing to slash its 311m pounds debt pile and 650 job losses. The stock fell 6p to 18p as Johnston said it planned to raise the cash in a share placing

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9 May 2014 09:18

UPDATE 1-Johnston Press unveils refinancing plan to halt revenue slide

(Adds details, CEO quote, share price) May 9 (Reuters) - Johnston Press Plc, publisher of "The Scotsman" and "The Yorkshire Post", unveiled a 360 million pound ($610 million) capital refinancing plan designed to reverse a long-term decline in revenue. The company said it plans to inve

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9 May 2014 08:44

Friday broker round-up UPDATE

Advanced Medical Solutions: Numis ups target price from 105p to 121p and retains its hold recommendation. Arrow Global: Numis upgrades from add to buy with a target price of 285p. Bank of Georgia: Numis downgrades from buy to hold with a target price of 2708p. Barclays: Citi lowers target price f

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9 May 2014 07:53

Johnston Press In GBP360 Million Capital Restructuring, BSkyB Buys In

LONDON (Alliance News) - Johnston Press PLC Friday unveiled a GBP360 million capital restructuring plan aimed at paying down debt and putting it on a more stable financial footing, and said its revenue decline had slowed in the first 17 weeks of the year as advertising markets continued to stabil

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9 May 2014 07:29

UK MORNING BRIEFING: Petrofac Drops 15% On Profit Warning

LONDON (Alliance News) - Two profit warnings and continued worries about Ukraine and Russia have depressed UK share prices at the open Friday.

Both Petrofac and Drax Group issued profit warnings prior to the open. Petrofac is down 15% at the open, w

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9 May 2014 07:00

Johnston Press unveils 360 mln stg refinancing plan

May 9 (Reuters) - Johnston Press Plc, publisher of "The Scotsman" and "The Yorkshire Post", unveiled a 360 million pound ($610 million) capital refinancing plan on Friday that it hopes will restore revenue growth. The company also announced an advertising partnership with British Sky Broadc

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9 May 2014 06:00

PRESS: Johnston Press Close To Financial Restructuring - Sky News

LONDON (Alliance News) - Johnston Press is close to finalising the terms of a refinancing aimed at providing breathing space for the board of one of the UK's biggest publicly-quoted newspaper groups, Sky News reports, without saying where it got the information. The agreement is expected to

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