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Broker tips: Moneysupermarket, HSBC, G4S

Mon, 04th Jul 2016 11:02

(ShareCast News) - Shares in Moneysupermarket.com tumbled on Monday after Barclays downgraded the price comparison website to 'equalweight' from 'overweight' and slashed the price target to 260p from 390p.The bank said it had been positive on the stock since initiating on it last year, but that uncertainty has been building in the last nine months, mostly due to elevated competition."The Brexit vote and a likely recession in the UK is now a new uncertainty, and one too many for us," it said."We do see areas of cyclicality in the Moneysupermarket business model, notably in Travel Supermarket, travel insurance in Insurance, and credit cards in Money. At this point, it is hard to model the precise impact of the downturn on numbers - our first attempt is to put through a 9% EPS downgrade in 2017E."The bank added that it sees clear risks to consensus for next year.It wasn't all doom and gloom, however, with positives in the form of a likely special dividend at end-2016 and benefits from the capex programme still to filter through, Barclays said."But we no longer have confidence in positive forecast momentum, and on 17.7x 12 month forward P/E, the shares are only slightly below their historical average relative to the FTSE250."Barclays said that while the valuation already captures the risks, it struggles to argue for a re-rating from here, hence the downgrade. Investec downgraded HSBC to 'sell' from 'hold' and cut the price target to 425p from 450p.The brokerage argued that former HSBC CEO Mike Geoghegan played a key role in the UK's decision to leave the European Union, articulating his view of a clear business-positive impact from Brexit.Investec noted that since 23 June, HSBC shares haven risen 3%, while the FTSE 100 has gained 4%. HSBC's peers, however, Lloyds and Barclays, are both down 25%."HSBC's shareholders must be suitably grateful; unlike most UK banks HSBC has participated in the 'Brexit bounce' - a 4-day 10% rise in the FTSE 100 index."But in our view, a now likely cut in UK interest rates, with assumed negative loan growth, pushes out HSBC's 10% return on equity aspiration to 2020e. We expect the share price to retrace."The brokerage expects UK interest rates to be cut by at least 25 basis points, probably in August or sooner, and argued that "lower-for-even-longer" interest rates will put further pressure on HSBC's net income margin. G4S shares fell on Monday as Jefferies reiterated a 'underperform' rating on the stock and cut its target price to 157p from 160p.Jefferies said a slowdown in emerging market economies, the Brexit vote and tragic events in Orlando have created stumbling blocks for the security sector."The security industry has proven resilience and G4S is commendably refocusing on a higher quality core, but recent events create headwinds," Jefferies said.Jefferies downgraded its earnings per share estimates for 2016 and 2017 by 7% and 8% respectively. The broker said risks include political changes, delayed bid timetables, contract mobilisation and dislocation in some emerging market countries as global carry trades unwind.Jefferies suggested a £240m equity placing would derisk the balance sheet and allow attention to return to long-term value drivers."A 9.99% placing at 157p would raise c.£240m, reducing net debt/EBITDA to 2.7x at year end and a far more comfortable 2.2x in December 2017."
More News
13 Apr 2021 11:31

Allied Univeral closes in on G4S takeover as acceptance reaches 90%

Allied Univeral closes in on G4S takeover as acceptance reaches 90%

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7 Apr 2021 20:02

IN BRIEF: G4S shuffles board ahead of takeover by Allied Universal

IN BRIEF: G4S shuffles board ahead of takeover by Allied Universal

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6 Apr 2021 08:43

Allied Universal's offer for G4S becomes unconditional in all respects

Allied Universal's offer for G4S becomes unconditional in all respects

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16 Mar 2021 17:47

G4S says Allied Universal GBP3 billion offer now unconditional

G4S says Allied Universal GBP3 billion offer now unconditional

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16 Mar 2021 16:42

UPDATE 2-G4S saga ends as shareholders accept $5.3 bln Allied Universal offer

(Adds comments from G4S, shareholder, context)By Yadarisa ShabongMarch 16 (Reuters) - The G4S takeover saga finally came to an end on Tuesday after a majority of the security company's shareholders accepted a 3.8 billion pound ($5.28 billion) offe...

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12 Mar 2021 10:47

CORRECT: Allied Universal urges G4S shareholders to accept offer

CORRECT: Allied Universal urges G4S shareholders to accept offer

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12 Mar 2021 08:55

Allied Universal lowers acceptance condition for G4S offer to 50%

Allied Universal lowers acceptance condition for G4S offer to 50%

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12 Mar 2021 08:09

LONDON BRIEFING: UK economy withstands lockdown in January

LONDON BRIEFING: UK economy withstands lockdown in January

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8 Mar 2021 18:03

IN BRIEF: Allied Universal sets March 16 as final deadline for G4S bid

IN BRIEF: Allied Universal sets March 16 as final deadline for G4S bid

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8 Mar 2021 10:05

Garda World Security extends offer for G4S to March 16

Garda World Security extends offer for G4S to March 16

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8 Mar 2021 09:44

GardaWorld extends G4S offer deadline

(Sharecast News) - Canada's GardaWorld has extended the deadline for shareholders to accept its £3.68bn offer for G4S.

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23 Feb 2021 09:23

Allied Universal Cuts Acceptance Condition For Agreed G4S Offer To 75%

Allied Universal Cuts Acceptance Condition For Agreed G4S Offer To 75%

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23 Feb 2021 07:52

UPDATE 2-G4S urge shareholders to accept Allied deal as bid battle ends

* G4S recommends vote for Allied's final offer* Allied offer open for acceptance until March 16* Says acceptance level lowered to 75% from 90% (Adds analyst comment, context, background)By Yadarisa ShabongFeb 23 (Reuters) - British private security ...

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23 Feb 2021 07:52

REFILE-UPDATE 2-G4S urges shareholders to accept Allied deal as bid battle ends

(Refiles to restore dropped letter in headline)* G4S recommends vote for Allied's final offer* Allied offer open for acceptance until March 16* Says acceptance level lowered to 75% from 90%By Yadarisa ShabongFeb 23 (Reuters) - British private securit...

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23 Feb 2021 07:44

Allied Universal declares ?3.8bn bid for G4S final

(Sharecast News) - Allied Universal said its offer for rival G4S had become final after Canada's GardaWorld on Monday declared it would not raise its own bid for the UK security firm.

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