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LIVE MARKETS-The U.S. consumption boom and what to do with it

Fri, 23rd Apr 2021 13:06

* STOXX 600 edges down

* Buoyant PMIs fail to lift sentiment

* Allfunds IPO shines

* Bitcoin slump

* Firstgroup jumps on U.S. deal
Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of equity markets brought to you by Reuters
reporters.

THE U.S. CONSUMPTION BOOM AND WHAT TO DO WITH IT (1206 GMT)

With some of Wall Street's biggest names anticipating a pause in the U.S. stock markets'
rally, Goldman Sachs recommends boosting allocation to consumer discretionary sector,
upgrading it to "overweight" from "neutral", as it expects pent up savings to drive strong
consumer spending in the near term.

"Our economists estimate that 'excess' household savings will total around $2.3 trillion
(10% of GDP) by mid-year and that 22% of this amount ($500 billion) will be spent by 2H 2022,"
Goldman analysts believe.

Risks are present however due to rising input costs that could pressure margins and due to
Amazon's large weight.

The consumer discretionary sector has underperformed the S&P 500 since positive vaccine
announcements in November, mainly due to Amazon, GS point out.

(Medha Singh)

BITCOIN'S BUSY YEAR (1025 GMT)

With Bitcoin trading below $50,000 after investors got spooked by Biden's tax plans, we
thought it was time for quick a recap of key developments so far in 2021.

Here you go:

Less than 10 days ago, bitcoin hit its latest all-time high of $64,895.22.

Gains so far this year have been fuelled by growing acceptance among major U.S. companies
and financial firms, with the cryptocurrency sector as a whole hitting an all-time peak of $2
trillion in market cap earlier this month.

(Elizabeth Howcroft)

*****

IPOs: "NOT MUCH HOT MONEY IN THE MARKET" (0932 GMT)

It's a rather counterintuitive take with Allfunds shares surging 18% for their Amsterdam
debut, but a source who worked on the deal believes the hype around IPOs has faded a little.

"I think it's fair to say there's not much hot money in the market at the moment", he told
us, adding that the Allfunds IPO was priced accordingly.

"A view was taken that we weren't going to push pricing more than is natural, and that is
reflected in the range which elicited a very positive reaction from investors", he explained,
stressing the mood is quite different from just a few weeks ago.

"I think earlier on the year, you had some big tier 1 long-only investors who were literally
scared of missing out on deals. You don't get that anymore".

Looking into the next big IPO coming, Synlab in Frankfurt, it also look that dealmakers made
their peace with the current mood. The pharma company set a price range of 18–23 euros per
share, setting the deal size at up to 1.032 billion euros and the company valuation at 4-5
billion euros.

"I think there's an acceptance it's lower than the initial indications they could have had
four or five weeks ago," the source added.

(Abhinav Ramnarayan with Julien Ponthus)

*****

NO BUYERS FOR THE UK RETAIL SURPRISE (0837 GMT)

UK retail sales data surprised to the upside, with volumes jumping by 5.4% in March from
February, compared to the Reuters poll forecast of 1.5%.

Even though non-essential retailers in England only re-opened on April 12, the data shows a
boost from people getting ready to go out again, e.g. online clothing sales.

There was also a rise in mobility equipment sales as older people prepared to leave their
homes after their vaccinations.

But there was next to no market reaction, even with stellar PMIs coming in, suggesting that
the UK's economic recovery is to a large extent priced in.

"The financial market reaction has been surprisingly muted with sterling barely changed and
FTSE 100 futures declining by roughly 0.2% since the announcement (perhaps in the belief that it
may encourage earlier action from the BOE)," said Paul Jackson, Global Head of Asset Allocation
Research at Invesco.

But Alastair George, Chief Investment Strategist at Edison Group said that the UK's
"re-opening" theme has further to run and would benefit retail, entertainment and leisure venues
over the summer.

(Elizabeth Howcroft)

*****

OPENING SNAPSHOT: WHEN TAXES SPOIL THE VIBE (0806 GMT)

European bourses edged slightly lower and were on course for their first weekly decline in
eight weeks as the mood in global markets turned sour after U.S. President Biden said he plans
to raise taxes on the wealthiest to fund the huge COVID-19 spending.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index is down 0.1%, with the financial service sector
leading the losses, down 0.4%.

But not everything is negative. Strong Q1 results supporting shares at Dometic Group
, SEB and Daimler AG.

PMI data showed that German factories continued to churn out goods at a near-record pace in
April, while in France, business activity expanded more strongly than forecast in April

On the IPO front, Spain's fund distribution firm Allfunds jumped over 13% in its
debut on Euronext Amsterdam. It had priced its IPO at 11.50 euros per share, giving it a
valuation of about 7.2 billion euros.

Among Britain's mid caps, shares of transport operator First Group jumped as much as
19% after it agreed to sell two businesses to private equity firm EQT.

Worth mentioning that strong sales in Q1 did little to help jacket maker Moncler
stocks, which are falling around 6%.

(Joice Alves)

*****

WILL PMIS AND EARNINGS LIFT SENTIMENT? (0536 GMT)

European futures are losing roughly 0.3% at the moment and it seems Biden's tax plans have
eroded sentiment across global markets.

The fact that bitcoin is trading below the $50,000 bar is also contributing to the risk-off
mood but that being said, there are plenty of earnings and indicators in the pipeline to shape
the trading session going further.

PMIs, both in the euro zone and in the UK will no doubt have a big role to play.

It's also a big IPO day for the European market with Spanish fund distribution firm Allfunds
making its stock market debut on Euronext Amsterdam.

(Julien Ponthus)

*****

More News
20 May 2021 15:20

IN BRIEF: FirstGroup lands UK national rail contracts

IN BRIEF: FirstGroup lands UK national rail contracts

Read more
20 May 2021 08:37

FirstGroup agrees new deals on TransPennine, South Western franchises

(Sharecast News) - FirstGroup has agreed new contracts with the UK government for its South Western Railway and TransPennine Express train operating companies, the company said on Thursday.

Read more
20 May 2021 08:26

UPDATE 2-Britain reforms railways, vows no return to "terrible sandwiches"

* New public rail operator will reunite trains and track* Great British Railways will aim to simplify services, tickets* New flexible season tickets will be offered from next month (Adds details on new tickets, Trainline shares)By Guy Faulconbridg...

Read more
20 May 2021 08:26

UPDATE 1-Britain reforms railways but vows no 'terrible sandwiches'

(Recasts headline)LONDON, May 20 (Reuters) - Britain will create a new public railway operator called Great British Railways in the biggest reform of the network in a quarter of a century, though there will be no return to the notoriously "terribl...

Read more
19 May 2021 15:41

FirstGroup investor Coast Capital hits back amid US asset sales plan

FirstGroup investor Coast Capital hits back amid US asset sales plan

Read more
18 May 2021 14:42

FirstGroup lambasts shareholder Coast Capital over US sale criticism

FirstGroup lambasts shareholder Coast Capital over US sale criticism

Read more
18 May 2021 14:05

FirstGroup faces shareholder battle over $4.6bn US deal

(Sharecast News) - FirstGroup has urged investors to back the sale of two US businesses after its largest shareholder said it would vote against the deal.

Read more
18 May 2021 13:06

UPDATE 2-UK's FirstGroup clashes with top investor over divestment

* FirstGroup recommends shareholders back divestment* Coast Capital threatens to vote against unless terms improve* Shareholder meeting to be held on May 27 (Adds analyst comments, background)By Yadarisa ShabongMay 18 (Reuters) - Britain's FirstGro...

Read more
17 May 2021 19:10

FirstGroup shareholder calls on investors to reject "crown jewel" sale

FirstGroup shareholder calls on investors to reject "crown jewel" sale

Read more
13 May 2021 11:13

Britain's rail network back on track as Hitachi trains re-enter service

LONDON, May 13 (Reuters) - Britain's rail network can start to return to normal as many trains made by Japan's Hitachi which were withdrawn five days ago can re-enter service following safety tests, the government said on Thursday.But some disrupt...

Read more
12 May 2021 13:55

Wednesday broker round-up

(Sharecast News) - Air Partner: Canaccord reiterates buy with a target price of 100p.

Read more
12 May 2021 09:34

BROKER RATINGS: Just Eat Takeaway and Aston Martin get upgrades

BROKER RATINGS: Just Eat Takeaway and Aston Martin get upgrades

Read more
11 May 2021 10:14

FirstGroup agrees fees for TransPennine Express contract termination

FirstGroup agrees fees for TransPennine Express contract termination

Read more
11 May 2021 08:02

FirstGroup reaches termination fee deal over TransPennine franchise

(Sharecast News) - FirstGroup has reached agreement with the Department for Transport (DfT) on the termination fee payable for the TransPennine Express (TPE) train operating company, it announced on Tuesday.

Read more
9 May 2021 18:53

UK rail operators withdraw some Hitachi trains due to cracks

LONDON, May 9 (Reuters) - The British government asked the rail industry on Sunday to urgently announce how it was going to deal with disruption to services after several operators were forced to withdraw part of their fleets because of cracks di...

Read more

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