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LIVE MARKETS-UK: more jobs, higher prices, new Chancellor - So what?

Wed, 19th Feb 2020 16:27

* European shares hit new record highs, up 0.8%

* China stimulus hopes, drop in new virus cases lifts mood

* Puma affirms FY targets despite virus, shares jump

* Tech and utilities lead gainers, financials down

* Wall Street: S&P 500, Nasdaq scale new highs
Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity markets brought to you by Reuters
stocks reporters. You can share your thoughts with Thyagaraju Adinarayan
(thyagaraju.adinarayan@tr.com), Joice Alves (joice.alves@tr.com), Julien Ponthus
(julien.ponthus@tr.com) in London and Danilo Masoni (danilo.masoni@tr.com) in Milan.

UK: MORE JOBS, HIGHER PRICES, NEW CHANCELLOR - SO WHAT? (1626 GMT)

Some surprising data from the UK and a new chancellor make people wonder if there are some
fiscal and monetary policy changes under way.

Analysts at DB say there is still a decent amount of fiscal headroom left but they expect
the new Chancellor Rishi Sunak to end up sticking to his predecessor's spending rules.

Later on, "should the Chancellor abandon the proposed fiscal rules, we would view this as a
material shift in fiscal policy, opening the door to significantly more spending in the
short-to-medium term," DB says.

Meantime, investors can count on the government's appetite for infrastructure spending.

"One thing's for sure, however, the Government remains committed to 'levelling-up' the
country. As such, the March Budget will undoubtedly focus on infrastructure spending," DB says.

In terms of monetary policy changes, inflation growth data adds weight to the argument
against the Bank of England cutting interest rates," says Chatham Financial.

"While the jump higher in January's CPI number doesn't in itself mean an end to the two-year
downtrend in the pace of inflation, there were signs of upwards pressure on future prices that
will likely put an end to any discussions of an imminent rate," it says.

Here are some UK macro updates:

1) Britain's Consumer Prices Index (CPI) rose to six-month high of 1.8% in January, up from
1.3% a month earlier.

2) The number of people in work in Britain jumped again at the end of last year, the
unemployment rate of 3.8% remained at its joint lowest level since early 1975.

3) The Budget will go ahead on 11 March as planned, new chancellor Rishi Sunak.

(Joice Alves)

*****

UTILITIES: 54 DAYS OF PASSION! (1525 GMT)

Utilities are on fire and their run looks to be unstoppable.

The sector - by far the best performer in Europe in 2020 - is eyeing another milestone: it
is on track for its best 54-day run since records began in 1987, up 25% over the period.

Fifty-four days may not be the typical timeframe to measure performance but it certainly
highlights how investors are getting hot on the industry, which is set to benefit from a
multi-billion investment boom to make the world greener.

"We see this as a period of transformation for the European utility sector, as the full
potential of cheap, clean, cost-competitive wind and solar becomes ever clearer," says UBS.

Ultra-low yields also do help expalin the move.

Anyhow, here's your milestone in chart:

And here's more reading:

"Renewa-bull or Renewabubble?"

Why utilities are so hot

Utilities: flying like a FANG

Davos: Watch those utilities

(Danilo Masoni)

*****

WHO'S NEXT IN ITALIAN BANKING M&A (1140 GMT)

No one has a crystal ball to say how Italian banking M&A is going to play out following
Intesa Sanpaolo's hostile bid for UBI Banca but the strong share price moves
in Milan suggest investors are gearing up for others banks to join the fray.

"We believe that the voluntary offer of ISP on UBI has more impacts on the other banks than
on ISP itself," say Equita analysts Giovanni Razzoli and Andrea Lisi.

And here's a recap of the names they say could possibly be called into action.

Banco BPM: "The main beneficiary of an increased M&A appeal among our coverage
universe is BAMI, which is trading with a significant discount".

Popolare di Sondrio: "We believe that market will incorporate a slightly lower M&A
probability on BPSO vis-à-vis BAMI... as the transformation into a joint-stock company cannot be
taken 100% for granted".

Credito Valtellinese: "We believe that also Creval could be involved into the
sector consolidation once the derisking process the streamlining of the operating structure has
been completed".

Monte dei Paschi: "BMPS speculative appeal, if any at present, is entirely related
to company specific elements ie the outcome and the terms of the acceleration of the derisking
process currently under discussion with the EU".

That said, Equita says Italian bank's earnings outlook is grim and warns against being
over-exposed to the sector.

(Danilo Masoni)

*****

WANNA PLAY THE EASING VIRUS FEARS? (1030 GMT)

If the answer yes, then Credit Suisse has some tips for you.

To find possible buys, the Swiss bank screened for stocks that have underperformed over 10%
since the rate of coronavirus infections peaked, and are cheap and are outperform-rated.

Among the names they single out Siemens, Informa as well as many
commodity stocks, such as RDS and Antofagasta.

In this chart you can see how these stocks clearly underperformed the market since virus
fears hit markets one month ago.

(Danilo Masoni)

*****

OPENING SNAPSHOT: JUST SHY OF RECORD (0825 GMT)

European stocks are just shy of record highs and its risk-on trades across the board as
coronavirus infection rate slows with miners, oil & gas and banks outperforming the pan-European
STOXX 600 index.

Among single stocks, Campari is down 6% after the Italian spirits group reported
full-year organic sales growth below estimates. In a surprise reversal, Plastic Omnium
wipes off gains seen at the open, falling 3%, even as profits came in better than expected.

Man Group is the top riser on STOXX 600 after Exane upgrades stock to "outperform",
according to traders.

(Thyagaraju Adinarayan)

*****

EURO TAILWIND PLAYING OUT; BA-OWNER IAG, HAPAG LLOYD IN FOCUS (0750 GMT)

Stocks are seen attempting to scale fresh record highs as a sharp drop in euro late last
evening is seen supporting dollar earners in the bloc. European bourses, which are seen opening
0.5% to 0.7% higher, are also supported by slowing new cases of coronavirus.

The pan-European STOXX 600 is expected to scale yet another record peak, a day
after Apple's coronavirus warning kept stocks under pressure. The virus is seen
disrupting supply chain and sales in industries ranging from cars to phones.

Adva Optical is the latest company to warn on disruptions from coronavirus and its
shares are seen falling 6% at open.

In other corporate news, British Airways owner IAG's shares could get a boost as
Qatar Airways Group said it had increased its stake in the airline operator to 25.1%.

Hapag-Lloyd's shares are rising 2% in premarket trade after the German container
shipping company raised its 2019 profit forecast on higher freight rates.

ASR Nederland is seen rising 3% after the Dutch insurer's full-year results beat
across the board, trader say.

Other significant moves: Plastic Omnium profits and dividend beat seen helping
shares (+4%); Deutsche Telekom seen +2%, traders highlight strong free cash flow
outlook; Renault cut to junk at Moody's.

(Thyagaraju Adinarayan)

*****

BACK TO RECORD HIGHS? (0703 GMT)

European stocks are seen opening 0.5% to 0.7% higher as markets remain resilient to the
economic effects of coronavirus which has killed nearly 2,000 people, mostly in China.

The pan-European STOXX 600 is yet again seen scaling record peaks today even as
coronavirus is seen disrupting supply chain and sales in industries ranging from cars to phones.
Apple was the latest to warn on a sales impact.

"We are already seeing various auto companies reporting concerns about shortages of parts in
their supply chains, which in turn could well see production slowdowns," says Michael Hewson,
chief market analyst at CMC Markets UK.

In corporate news, Covestro shares are likely to take a hit after the German
chemicals maker warned on first quarter and 2020 profits citing stiff competition and low
prices.

Meanwhile, container shipping company Hapag-Lloyd raised its 2019 profit forecast
on higher freight rates.

(Thyagaraju Adinarayan)

*****

(Reporting by Danilo Masoni, Joice Alves, Julien Ponthus and Thyagaraju Adinarayan)

More News
1 Aug 2023 13:32

UPDATE: Man Group shares fall amid mixed second-quarter for net flows

(Alliance News) - Man Group PLC on Tuesday reported "record" assets under management in its first-half, as the hedge fund hailed "broad-based demand".

Read more
1 Aug 2023 12:07

LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: Stocks fall after drab manufacturing readings

(Alliance News) - Stock prices in Europe were lower at midday on Tuesday, after data showed that both the UK and eurozone's manufacturing sectors suffered last month.

Read more
1 Aug 2023 10:24

Man Group shares suffer amid mixed second-quarter for net flows

(Alliance News) - Man Group PLC on Tuesday reported "record" assets under management in its first-half, as the hedge fund hailed "broad-based demand".

Read more
1 Aug 2023 09:21

Man Group shares tumble as fund performance disappoints

LONDON, Aug 1 (Reuters) - British hedge fund manager Man Group posted forecast-beating first-half pretax profit and record assets under management on Tuesday, but a disappointing performance across several of its funds roiled investors, sending shares lower.

Read more
25 Jul 2023 15:46

UK earnings, trading statements calendar - next 7 days

Wednesday 26 July 
Aptitude Software Group PLCHalf Year Results
Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings PLCHalf Year Results
Breedon Group PLCHalf Year Results
British American Tobacco PLCHalf Year Results
Centamin PLCHalf Year Results
Conduit Holdings LtdHalf Year Results
CyanConnode Holdings PLCFull Year Results
Ecora Resources PLCTrading Statement
Fresnillo PLCTrading Statement
FDM Group PLCHalf Year Results
FRP Advisory Group PLCFull Year Results
Gresham Technologies PLCHalf Year Results
GSK PLCHalf Year Results
Lloyds Banking Group PLCHalf Year Results
Marston's PLCTrading Statement
Nichols PLCHalf Year Results
Primary Health Properties PLCHalf Year Results
Rathbones Group PLCHalf Year Results
Reckitt Benckiser Group PLCHalf Year Results
Revolution Bars Group PLCTrading Statement
Rio Tinto PLCHalf Year Results
Science Group PLCHalf Year Results
Van Elle Holdings PLCFull Year Results
Thursday 27 July 
Allianz Technology Trust PLCHalf Year Results
Airtel Africa PLCQ1 Results
Anglo American PLCHalf Year Results
Antofagasta PLCHalf Year Results
Beazley PLCTrading Statement
Capital & Regional PLCHalf Year Results
Card Factory PLCTrading Statement
Centrica PLCHalf Year Results
Checkit PLCTrading Statement
Drax Group PLCHalf Year Results
Deliveroo PLCHalf Year Results
Derwent London PLCHalf Year Results
DP Eurasia NVTrading Statement
Entain PLCHalf Year Results
Greencoat UK Wind PLCHalf Year Results
Global Connectivity PLCHalf Year Results
Hostelworld Group PLCHalf Year Results
HydrogenOne Capital Growth PLCTrading Statement
Lancashire Holdings LtdHalf Year Results
Mitchells & Butlers PLCTrading Statement
OSB Group PLCHalf Year Results
Persimmon PLCHalf Year Results
Redcentric PLCFull Year Results
RELX PLCHalf Year Results
Rentokil Initial PLCHalf Year Results
S&U PLCTrading Statement
Sage Group PLCTrading Statement
Savills PLCHalf Year Results
Secure Trust Bank PLCHalf Year Results
SEGRO PLCHalf Year Results
Spirax-Sarco Engineering PLCHalf Year Results
Videndum PLCHalf Year Results
Wheaton Precious Metals CorpHalf Year Results
Friday 28 July 
AIB Group PLCHalf Year Results
GCP Infrastructure Investments LtdTrading Statement
International Consolidated Airlines Group SAHalf Year Results
Intertek Group PLCHalf Year Results
Jardine Matheson Holdings LtdHalf Year Results
NatWest Group PLCHalf Year Results
PayPoint PLCFull Year Results
PayPoint PLCTrading Statement
Standard Chartered PLCHalf Year Results
YouGov PLCTrading Statement
Monday 31 July 
Bank of Ireland Group PLCHalf Year Results
GlobalData PLCHalf Year Results
Hutchmed (China) LtdHalf Year Results
Pearson PLCHalf Year Results
Pod Point Group Holdings PLCHalf Year Results
Quartix Technologies PLCHalf Year Results
Ricardo PLCTrading Statement
Senior PLCHalf Year Results
Spectris PLCHalf Year Results
Tuesday 1 August 
BP PLCHalf Year Results
Coats Group PLCHalf Year Results
Diageo PLCFull Year Results
Domino's Pizza Group PLCHalf Year Results
Filtronic PLCFull Year Results
Fresnillo PLCHalf Year Results
Greggs PLCHalf Year Results
HSBC Holdings PLCHalf Year Results
International Personal Finance PLCHalf Year Results
Keller Group PLCHalf Year Results
Man Group PLCHalf Year Results
Metro Bank PLCHalf Year Results
NWF Group PLCFull Year Results
Robert Walters PLCHalf Year Results
Staffline Group PLCHalf Year Results
System1 Group PLCFull Year Results
Travis Perkins PLCHalf Year Results
Virgin Wines UK PLCTrading Statement
Weir Group PLCHalf Year Results
XP Power LtdHalf Year Results
  
Copyright 2023 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

Read more
14 Jul 2023 16:32

Grocer, trainmaker and landlord among most shorted stocks in June - Hazeltree

LONDON, July 14 (Reuters) - Shortsellers betting on tougher economic conditions zeroed in on online grocer Ocado , Swedish property firm Fastighets AB Balder and French train maker Alstom in June, according to a report by data and tech firm Hazeltree.

Read more
14 Jul 2023 13:48

Grocer, trainmaker and landlord among most shorted stocks in June - Hazeltree

LONDON, July 14 (Reuters) - Shortsellers betting on tougher economic conditions zeroed in on online grocer Ocado , Swedish property firm Fastighets AB Balder and French train maker Alstom in June, according to a report by data and tech firm Hazeltree.

Read more
13 Jul 2023 12:15

Are higher rates the best way forward?

STOXX Europe 600 up 0.5%

*

Read more
13 Jul 2023 11:25

BASF, LVMH and the crowding factor in beats & misses

STOXX Europe 600 up 0.5%

*

Read more
11 Jul 2023 10:00

LONDON BROKER RATINGS: Panmure likes Redde Northgate; Davy ups Moonpig

(Alliance News) - The following London-listed shares received analyst recommendations Tuesday morning:

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6 Jul 2023 09:25

LONDON BROKER RATINGS: JPMorgan raises Mondi and Smurfit Kappa

(Alliance News) - The following London-listed shares received analyst recommendations Thursday morning:

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6 Jul 2023 08:37

Man Group to acquire Vargon Capital Partners for USD183 million

(Alliance News) - Man Group PLC said on Thursday that it has entered into an agreement to acquire a controlling interest in Varagon Capital Partners LP.

Read more
6 Jul 2023 08:23

UK's Man Group to buy Varagon Capital in further push into credit

July 6 (Reuters) - London-listed hedge fund Man Group said on Thursday it has agreed to buy a controlling stake in U.S. middle market private credit manager Varagon Capital Partners, building on a recent acquisition.

Read more
6 Jul 2023 07:55

Man Group to buy controlling interest in Varagon in $183m deal

(Sharecast News) - Man Group said on Thursday that it has agreed to buy a controlling interest in Varagon, a US middle market private credit manager, in a $183m deal.

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3 Jul 2023 09:37

LONDON BROKER RATINGS: Stifel cuts Croda International to 'hold'

(Alliance News) - The following London-listed shares received analyst recommendations Monday morning:

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