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Belarus threatens to cut off gas to EU in border row
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-59246899
Reading the article, it would appear that the decision to shut off gas supply to the EU is not Mr Lukashenko's. It is Russian gas and they would need to approve - even in secret - any disruption. So in that respect it is a hollow threat.
However Russia seems to be playing a game with gas supplies to put pressure on Germany to approve Nordstream2, so they might give tacit approval to Lukashenko to play games with the gas supplies transiting Belarus....but it will really be the Kremlin gaslighting the EU.
There is talk that Russia is going to 'annex' Ukraine....the polite way of saying invade. That would put the cat amongst the pigeons.
Putin is testing the resolve of the EU and America post Afghanistan fiasco....things could go horribly wrong!
I agree Eagle but hope that we are wrong in that the Belarus / Russia situation could go wrong.
However, if it does the price of gas & oil would increase dramatically putting more pressure on Mr Biden as the Americans like their cheap 'gas' for cars etc & one half order there i.e. the Republicans don't believe in global warming & won't do anything about it.
Russia could not annex Ukraine. They can maybe only seize some border areas where they can assert authority. To try and occupy a Ukraine with a strong self identity and 30 years free from Soviet/Russian control would be a bigger mistake than the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan. Stalin had Soviet forces quelling armed Ukrainian nationalists from 1945 to 1948. It took the Holodomor (forced starvation) in the 30s and massive military presence in the 40s to break Ukraine.
BT - Obviously you know some quite dated historical background to the Ukraine, but I think you need to brush up a bit on Putin!
Polish PM calls for 'concrete steps' from NATO amid Belarus border crisis!
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/polish-police-say-group-50-migrants-broke-through-belarus-border-2021-11-14/
"Russia could not annex Ukraine! They can maybe only seize some border areas where they can assert authority." By this you must mean the Crimea - are you trying to be credible!
What about 100,000 Russian troops invading Chechnya! What about Russia seizing Georgia! Russia is subversive, manipulative and controlling with its gas supplies. Putin thinks nothing of cutting off supplies to Moldova or even the Ukraine, to further his political ambitions. What do you think Nord-stream 2 with a big on.off tap in the Kremlin is about!