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Official Austrian Defence Forces YouTube channel.
A balanced 20-minute video from the Austrians going into details of all weapons being used, the huge production advantage the Russians have, electronic warfare superiority and how it's jamming all high-tech weapons provided by West - 50-70% HIMARS jammed, Excaliber artillery rounds (only 6% successful). It discusses the upcoming summer Russian offensive. They also mention the military term of "Culmination point" - the point of no return/incredibly difficult point to turn it around, in other words, it's make or break this summer for Ukraine.
Very interesting watch from beginning to end. Keep in mind its from NATO country's official defence youtube channel.
Long live Ukraine!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gk7D_TliAuE
Cleverthoughts
he likes his conclusions.
but your blog missed out this conclusion,its 100% in favour of russian propoganda....with a lot of misinformation.
...................
for the last 5 months,ukraines basically been 80% out of munitions,which is now,being replenished,so russia barely made much inroads,considering its enemy,couldnt do much else,but dig in and defend.
and you'll find,russian air defences,have been severely mauled,something like 6/10 of their s3/400 missile systems,have been taken out by hymars/atacms and storm shadow,suggesting their state of the art,missile system,cant take out 40 year old western missiles?
10 of their top fighter bombers have been taken out,in one month
2 of their awacks costing $500 million each,taken out over the azov sea,suggesting theyre defense's against 40 year old,western missiles,failed
12 of russian oil refineries have been hit by ukranian drone,one in st petersburgh,a 1000 kms away....suggesting their air defense,is a failure
also another in eastern russia,hit
an arms factory,south moscow,hit.
3 ships off crimea,taken out by sea drones.
a training camp in lehansk,taken out.
.....
conclusion......ukranian missiles and drones....look very effective and russian air defenses,complete rubbish.....no one will be buying s3/400 anymore.
....
but yeah,your blog got one thing correct....russian jamming,is well known,to be of the best
Cleverthoughts
and he failed to mention,something at the top of any war list
money(money wins wars)
nato's deep pockets are about 40 times that of russia's
who will run out of money first..
....
inwhich he missed that out,in his selective conclusions.
Cleverthoughts
if you read the comments section,its obviously.....written by russians?
Trojan, hoping the Russians exit Ukraine with their tails tucked between their legs and Putin is thrown over a balcony.
IMO the Russians will win this. NATO is simply not 100% commited to winning. This drip feeding arms and long waits between deliveries is no formula to win. The abysmal offensive the Ukraine's did last was doomed to fail without airpower. The west would of never done that themselves without major airpower smashing russian position to oblivion first.
Military wise,russia is no match for nato,putin knows that and their military,once perceived as the 2nd biggest in the world,as been proven to be,hugely exxagerated,in their size.
the west doesnt want to arm ukraine to destroy and win,against them and risk nuclear strikes.
russia will lose economically,no money,no war,,,,the damage is already happening,albeit slowly,this chap,joe bloggs,uses russian data provided by the govermnent and private sector....https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dAGTuiLvciE
after 20 years of putins wars,the west;s finally woken up,to putins "a bridge to far" war and the industrial genocide,that's his trade mark.
economical attrition?
This chap,sums it up well.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SyYabeHrqDc
I don't think either side is going to win this war the way things are at the minute.
The west lacks a strategy on how to help Ukraine drive the Russians out. Like, for example, they will need 1000 main battle tanks, 2000 armoured personnel carriers, 400,000 men, air support etc etc. But maybe drip feeding is the strategy. Keep Putin tied down in Ukraine forever then he's not doing anything any where else. Putin and Xi said as much to the Americans about Afghanistan. They were tied down there for no strategic gain what so ever. Hence they turned around and got out of an unwinnable war.
The same can be said of the Russians. Over 2 years in and they still haven't secured any of the four provinces they intended to. No regional capitals and 500,000 dead or injured. Insanity. But they do have the momentum at the minute. Huge sacrifices for marginal gains. Apparently in the regions they have taken, especially Mariupol, they have already moved in tens of thousands of Russians to replace the Ukrainians that fled or were killed. The same as they did in Crimea and the same as the Chinese did in Tibet. Given them the homes of the people they said they were liberating. That's why Russia needs defeating. Their aim wasn't to liberated anyone. It was to make Ukraine disappear all together and Russia a larger stronger entity. The West needs to wake up, start training men and producing military equipment on a massive scale.
Without getting into the war, what are the main issues investors see here?
The legal issues would be great ot understand form KNOWLEDGEABLE posters. F@cktards like 666 don't bother. From what I can tell they're going after the major shareholder - is this correct? Seems an over-reach to go after a listed company versus himself personally, but is this the main thrust of what's going on? And if so, why does FXPO need to hold over $100m to cover any legal claim? It doesn;t appear that FXPO has done anything untoward. I have no doubt any Ukrainian oligarch is a first rate c@nt - they're no different to the Russians in this regard. But surely this cannot be done from a legal pov. I'd appreciate some guidance on this as there's a good chance I'm completely wrong.
The other major risk from what I can tell is the war turning negative. Obviously a big risk, but if the concern is the Russians will get to the mines themselves, which are a long way past Kharkiv, the chances are next to zero. There is no way they will take Kharkiv let alone push that far. The West will likely commit troops before that happens. And they'll allow Ukraine to hit Russia with everything they have remaining. People need to keep in mind that Ukraine has now finally received the sort of support that matters - artillery, missiles, and air support.
Other things mentioned is funds selling out due to FTSE 250 relegation. Anyone know when this is likely to end, and the usual impact of this sort of thing happening?
The war has been raging for over 2 years and the sp has never been this low. So are the above factors the key things to be aware of? Any detail on the legal cases would be much appreciated, including any costs that are likely to be incurred by FXPO.
Funny thing is I looked seriously here after the Crimea invasion and iron ore price implosion back in 2015, and I baulked. Could have 5-10x in 24 months. If this drops into the 20's I think the same thing could happen.
Obviously far more risk with legal and bigger conflict. But the legals will be wrapped up at some point, and they appear to be making a lot of £££ to cover any fines. The FTSE 250 sell-off will also end. The big question mark for me is Russia bombing these mines as I don't believe they'll get anywhere near siezing them. AIMHO GLA